Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.4% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Saad 50.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 67.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 57.4%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Saad
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (21)
51.5% (594)
-3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
51.7% (87)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
28.6% (14)
-3.6%
On power play, Pavelski has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Saad is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Saad shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Saad
Pavelski
Home
45.0% (20)
53.1% (339)
Away
37.5% (8)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Saad
Pavelski
P1
41.7%
53.8%
P2
55.6%
47.8%
P3
28.6%
50.2%
Final 5 min
25.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
42.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%