Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 50.0% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 53.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 58.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Saad
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (5)
52.3% (560)
+7.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
57.5% (113)
-24.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Saad is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Saad shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Saad
Pavelski
Home
60.0% (5)
54.2% (360)
Away
33.3% (3)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Saad
Pavelski
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
33.3%
56.7%
P3
100.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
66.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
50.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%