Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 45.3% vs Zegras 40.4% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 74.1%
Defensive zone
Saad 60.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.6%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Saad
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
32.0% (25)
33.6% (143)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Saad is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Saad shoots left. Zegras is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Saad
Zegras
Home
37.5% (16)
31.6% (98)
Away
16.7% (12)
39.1% (87)
By Period
Saad
Zegras
P1
43.8%
38.9%
P2
10.0%
38.0%
P3
0.0%
27.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
29.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
28.6%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.1%