Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 48.7% vs Zegras 41.5% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 65.1%
Defensive zone
Zegras 52.6%
Neutral zone
Zegras 58.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Saad
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (16)
39.4% (510)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
47.1% (34)
+2.9%
On even strength, Saad has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Saad is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Saad shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Saad
Zegras
Home
50.0% (8)
42.3% (272)
Away
36.4% (11)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Saad
Zegras
P1
25.0%
37.6%
P2
60.0%
41.5%
P3
20.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
0.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
42.1%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%