Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 50.0% vs Zegras 42.6% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 56.8%
Defensive zone
Zegras 72.1%
Neutral zone
Zegras 58.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Saad
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (5)
41.1% (559)
+18.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (12)
-16.7%
On even strength, Saad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Saad is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Saad shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Saad
Zegras
Home
60.0% (5)
45.7% (247)
Away
33.3% (3)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Saad
Zegras
P1
50.0%
45.5%
P2
33.3%
36.8%
P3
100.0%
41.1%
Final 5 min
66.7%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
50.0%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
41.4%