Scouting Report
Brandon Saad holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Zegras 40.2% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 50.7%
Defensive zone
Saad 50.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.0%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Saad
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (529)
39.5% (1,582)
+1.1%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
41.4% (133)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
28.6% (7)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Saad has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Saad is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Saad shoots left. Zegras is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
Saad
Zegras
Home
42.5% (367)
40.6% (833)
Away
41.1% (343)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Saad
Zegras
P1
41.9%
41.2%
P2
41.2%
39.1%
P3
43.1%
38.5%
OT
36.4%
35.3%
Final 5 min
38.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
37.5%
41.8%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%