Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Point 47.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 66.8%
Defensive zone
Point 71.5%
Neutral zone
Point 67.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Matthews
Point
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Matthews
Point
Last 7: Matthews 2-5 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
2
Matthews
Point
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
2
Matthews
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Point
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Point
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
48.9% (906)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
53.5% (99)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
36.1% (169)
+35.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Matthews is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Matthews shoots left. Point is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Matthews
Point
Home
59.8% (351)
48.4% (589)
Away
49.0% (337)
46.5% (585)
By Period
Matthews
Point
P1
58.0%
47.4%
P2
49.6%
50.1%
P3
55.4%
44.6%
OT
83.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2018 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |