Brayden Point vs Casey Mittelstadt
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Mittelstadt 46.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 50.1%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 56.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Point
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Point
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Point 2-3 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Mittelstadt
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
2
Point
Mittelstadt
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
45.3% (569)
+4.6%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
49.6% (135)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
40.6% (32)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Mittelstadt is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Point
Mittelstadt
Home
53.3% (394)
45.1% (366)
Away
48.4% (428)
46.8% (370)
By Period
Point
Mittelstadt
P1
49.8%
41.1%
P2
53.0%
51.1%
P3
49.6%
45.9%
OT
44.4%
30.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |