Brayden Point vs Casey Mittelstadt
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Point leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 77.3%
Defensive zone
Point 69.1%
Neutral zone
Point 79.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Point
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
12
(36 meetings)
24
12
Point
Mittelstadt
Last 10: Point 7-3 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
10
6
Point
Mittelstadt
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
8
2
Point
Mittelstadt
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
6
4
Point
Mittelstadt
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
45.0% (3,922)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
49.7% (666)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
37.5% (96)
+1.0%
On power play, Point has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Home / Away
Point
Mittelstadt
Home
49.1% (3,733)
46.7% (2,316)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
44.3% (2,368)
By Period
Point
Mittelstadt
P1
46.8%
46.8%
P2
51.4%
46.1%
P3
48.0%
44.0%
OT
52.0%
36.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |