Brayden Point vs Casey Mittelstadt
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Mittelstadt 50.9% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 51.9%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 69.7%
Neutral zone
Point 52.2%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Point
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Point
Mittelstadt
Last 5: Point 4-1 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
50.4% (139)
-4.2%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
54.8% (31)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-80.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Mittelstadt is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Point
Mittelstadt
Home
46.9% (243)
59.3% (91)
Away
46.4% (302)
42.5% (80)
By Period
Point
Mittelstadt
P1
46.2%
48.8%
P2
45.9%
49.1%
P3
48.9%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |