Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Hughes 39.8% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 67.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Point
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Point
Hughes
Last 6: Point 2-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
4
Point
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
36.8% (266)
+9.4%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
14.3% (7)
+35.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
33.3% (6)
-13.3%
On power play, Point has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Point
Hughes
Home
46.9% (243)
35.1% (148)
Away
46.4% (302)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Point
Hughes
P1
46.2%
43.0%
P2
45.9%
28.7%
P3
48.9%
35.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |