Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Hughes 39.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 62.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 69.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 67.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Point
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Point
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Point
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
37.9% (623)
+9.9%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
33.3% (33)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
36.4% (11)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Point
Hughes
Home
49.7% (471)
36.6% (314)
Away
47.2% (415)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Point
Hughes
P1
46.6%
36.4%
P2
51.7%
35.6%
P3
46.5%
41.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |