Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Hughes 37.9% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 57.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.5%
Neutral zone
Hughes 57.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Point
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Point
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Point
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
34.9% (444)
+15.0%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
50.0% (14)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Point has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Point
Hughes
Home
53.3% (394)
37.4% (235)
Away
48.4% (428)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Point
Hughes
P1
49.8%
37.1%
P2
53.0%
33.7%
P3
49.6%
34.8%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |