Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Hughes 36.6% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 64.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 68.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 73.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Point
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Point
Hughes
Last 10: Point 3-7 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Point
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
2
Point
Hughes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
6
Point
Hughes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
36.0% (2,887)
+12.3%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
38.8% (224)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
31.0% (42)
+7.5%
On power play, Point has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Home / Away
Point
Hughes
Home
49.1% (3,733)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Point
Hughes
P1
46.8%
36.9%
P2
51.4%
33.6%
P3
48.0%
38.1%
OT
52.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Brayden Point |