Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 45.6% vs Hayes 46.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 72.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.6%
Neutral zone
Point 51.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Point
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Point
Hayes
Last 5: Point 3-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Point
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (462)
45.4% (788)
-0.6%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
50.0% (56)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
45.2% (124)
+4.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Point is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Point shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Point
Hayes
Home
46.3% (315)
46.6% (459)
Away
42.4% (217)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Point
Hayes
P1
36.9%
43.0%
P2
48.7%
49.5%
P3
47.4%
44.7%
OT
45.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
44.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Brayden Point |