Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Hayes 56.3% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 76.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.8%
Neutral zone
Point 60.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Point
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Point
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Point
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
56.6% (724)
-10.7%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
57.0% (79)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
65.7% (35)
-45.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Point
Hayes
Home
45.8% (286)
58.0% (405)
Away
45.5% (358)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Point
Hayes
P1
45.9%
54.7%
P2
48.8%
55.7%
P3
40.6%
60.2%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |