Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Hayes 49.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 70.7%
Defensive zone
Point 52.8%
Neutral zone
Point 57.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Point
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Point
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
48.5% (557)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
53.3% (107)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Point
Hayes
Home
53.3% (394)
50.8% (313)
Away
48.4% (428)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Point
Hayes
P1
49.8%
52.3%
P2
53.0%
47.7%
P3
49.6%
48.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |