Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Hayes 51.7% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 56.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Point
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
51.6% (386)
-3.8%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
53.2% (47)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
60.0% (20)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Point
Hayes
Home
49.7% (471)
50.5% (200)
Away
47.2% (415)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Point
Hayes
P1
46.6%
58.8%
P2
51.7%
49.3%
P3
46.5%
48.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |