Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Eller 51.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 84.2%
Defensive zone
Point 50.2%
Neutral zone
Point 61.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Point
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Point
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Point
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Point
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Point
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
52.8% (650)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
69.2% (13)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
45.5% (88)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Point has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Point
Eller
Home
49.7% (471)
52.6% (340)
Away
47.2% (415)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Point
Eller
P1
46.6%
52.4%
P2
51.7%
54.1%
P3
46.5%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |