Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Eller 55.7% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 79.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.0%
Neutral zone
Point 56.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Point
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Point
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Point
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
56.5% (434)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
77.8% (9)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
56.5% (46)
-36.5%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Point
Eller
Home
46.9% (243)
53.1% (211)
Away
46.4% (302)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Point
Eller
P1
46.2%
55.4%
P2
45.9%
58.1%
P3
48.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |