Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 33-26 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 83.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 56.1%
Neutral zone
Point 59.7%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Point
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
33
(59 meetings)
26
33
Point
Eller
Last 10: Point 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
17
7
Point
Eller
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
18
Point
Eller
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
7
8
Point
Eller
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
52.8% (621)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
46.7% (1,751)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Point
Eller
Home
49.1% (3,733)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Point
Eller
P1
46.8%
51.2%
P2
51.4%
50.1%
P3
48.0%
50.2%
OT
52.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Brayden Point |