Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Point wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 49.5% vs Johansen 51.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 59.2%
Defensive zone
Point 52.1%
Neutral zone
Point 53.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Point
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Point
Johansen
Last 10: Point 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Point
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
8
Point
Johansen
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (411)
51.5% (615)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (101)
54.3% (140)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.3% (67)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Point has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Point is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Point shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Point
Johansen
Home
51.1% (268)
52.4% (389)
Away
47.6% (252)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Point
Johansen
P1
46.4%
53.4%
P2
56.5%
49.1%
P3
45.3%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
49.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |