Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Johansen 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 31-20 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 73.5%
Defensive zone
Point 83.5%
Neutral zone
Point 73.5%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Point
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
31
(51 meetings)
20
31
Point
Johansen
Last 10: Point 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
6
Point
Johansen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
15
Point
Johansen
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
13
10
Point
Johansen
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
53.1% (11,017)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
50.5% (978)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Point is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,071).
Point shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Point
Johansen
Home
49.1% (3,733)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Point
Johansen
P1
46.8%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
53.9%
P3
48.0%
52.8%
OT
52.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Brayden Point |