Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Johansen 52.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 54.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 85.7%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Point
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Point
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Point
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
51.9% (597)
-6.0%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
57.9% (133)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
54.3% (81)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Point
Johansen
Home
45.8% (286)
55.8% (387)
Away
45.5% (358)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Point
Johansen
P1
45.9%
50.0%
P2
48.8%
56.2%
P3
40.6%
52.6%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Brayden Point |