Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Johansen 58.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 65.8%
Defensive zone
Point 67.8%
Neutral zone
Point 61.6%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Point
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Point
Johansen
Last 6: Point 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Point
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Point
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
59.8% (625)
-9.9%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
58.2% (196)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.9% (27)
-1.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Point is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Point shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Point
Johansen
Home
53.3% (394)
60.3% (436)
Away
48.4% (428)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Point
Johansen
P1
49.8%
61.3%
P2
53.0%
60.4%
P3
49.6%
56.0%
OT
44.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 14:25 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |