Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Novak 45.6% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Point 63.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 66.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Point
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
43.8% (384)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
58.8% (17)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Point
Novak
Home
53.3% (394)
46.5% (202)
Away
48.4% (428)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Point
Novak
P1
49.8%
49.2%
P2
53.0%
44.2%
P3
49.6%
40.0%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%