Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Novak 43.4% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.7%
Neutral zone
Point 50.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Point
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
41.4% (379)
+4.8%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
46.9% (32)
+2.6%
On even strength, Point has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Point
Novak
Home
46.9% (243)
42.6% (195)
Away
46.4% (302)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Point
Novak
P1
46.2%
42.4%
P2
45.9%
39.2%
P3
48.9%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%