Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Novak 45.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 67.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 58.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 60.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Point
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Point
Novak
Last 6: Point 2-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
2
Point
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Point
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
42.9% (198)
+4.9%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
40.9% (22)
+10.1%
On power play, Point has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Point
Novak
Home
49.7% (471)
40.9% (110)
Away
47.2% (415)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Point
Novak
P1
46.6%
39.1%
P2
51.7%
43.9%
P3
46.5%
44.9%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |