Brayden Point vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 87.5%
Defensive zone
Point 72.2%
Neutral zone
Point 78.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Point
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Point
Karlsson
Last 10: Point 1-9 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Point
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
6
Point
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Point
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
58.5% (135)
-12.3%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
80.0% (5)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.4% (18)
-24.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Point
Karlsson
Home
46.9% (243)
63.7% (91)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Point
Karlsson
P1
46.2%
54.4%
P2
45.9%
66.7%
P3
48.9%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |