Brayden Point vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 74.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 91.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 75.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Point
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Point
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
56.3% (739)
-10.4%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
58.6% (181)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
47.2% (53)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Point
Karlsson
Home
45.8% (286)
56.5% (462)
Away
45.5% (358)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Point
Karlsson
P1
45.9%
57.1%
P2
48.8%
55.2%
P3
40.6%
56.7%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Brayden Point |