Brayden Point vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 93.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 76.0%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Point
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Point
Karlsson
Last 8: Point 6-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
0
Point
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
55.3% (897)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
61.1% (113)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.8% (132)
-0.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Point
Karlsson
Home
53.3% (394)
58.6% (560)
Away
48.4% (428)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Point
Karlsson
P1
49.8%
55.8%
P2
53.0%
55.6%
P3
49.6%
55.7%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Brayden Point |