Brayden Point vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 20-20 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 68.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 68.5%
Neutral zone
Point 51.7%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Point
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
20
(40 meetings)
20
20
Point
Karlsson
Last 10: Point 1-9 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
7
3
Point
Karlsson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
10
12
Point
Karlsson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
5
Point
Karlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
51.8% (7,849)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
54.8% (1,048)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
44.2% (1,109)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Point is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,402).
Point shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Point
Karlsson
Home
49.1% (3,733)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Point
Karlsson
P1
46.8%
50.3%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
48.0%
52.4%
OT
52.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Brayden Point |