Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Stepan 54.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 59.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 55.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Schenn
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Schenn
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Schenn
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
54.5% (374)
-5.8%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
0.0% (2)
+70.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
64.7% (68)
-24.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +70.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stepan
Home
49.0% (286)
54.5% (222)
Away
49.1% (293)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Schenn
Stepan
P1
47.7%
57.5%
P2
48.7%
54.7%
P3
51.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |