Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Stepan 53.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 66.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 66.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Schenn
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schenn
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Schenn
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Schenn
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
55.3% (358)
-9.7%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
0.0% (3)
+52.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
50.8% (61)
-4.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Schenn is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Schenn shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stepan
Home
46.8% (494)
57.7% (213)
Away
46.3% (520)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Schenn
Stepan
P1
50.3%
56.3%
P2
47.0%
48.9%
P3
42.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |