Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Stepan 46.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 50.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 57.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Schenn
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
25
(49 meetings)
24
25
Schenn
Stepan
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
8
11
Schenn
Stepan
19 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Schenn
Stepan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
10
8
Schenn
Stepan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
46.5% (10,204)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
48.8% (1,593)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
44.2% (1,368)
+4.3%
On power play, Schenn has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Schenn
Stepan
Home
49.7% (5,030)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Schenn
Stepan
P1
48.7%
47.5%
P2
48.6%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
46.8%
OT
50.9%
40.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 08:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |