Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Eller 55.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.1%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schenn
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Schenn
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
56.5% (434)
-5.3%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
77.8% (9)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
56.5% (46)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
54.0% (367)
53.1% (211)
Away
53.3% (375)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
48.6%
55.4%
P2
52.0%
58.1%
P3
59.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |