Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Eller 53.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 55.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Eller
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
53.8% (865)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
57.1% (21)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
52.6% (137)
-6.5%
On even strength, Eller has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
46.8% (494)
56.4% (486)
Away
46.3% (520)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
50.3%
55.1%
P2
47.0%
55.3%
P3
42.2%
51.7%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | OT | 04:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |