Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Eller 51.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 66.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schenn
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Schenn
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
52.8% (650)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
69.2% (13)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
45.5% (88)
+11.9%
On power play, Eller has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
51.1% (575)
52.6% (340)
Away
53.4% (607)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
51.4%
52.4%
P2
52.7%
54.1%
P3
52.7%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |