Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Eller 50.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 36-31 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 61.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 74.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
31
(67 meetings)
36
31
Schenn
Eller
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
18
10
Schenn
Eller
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
12
Schenn
Eller
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
10
9
Schenn
Eller
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
51.1% (10,296)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
52.8% (621)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
46.7% (1,751)
+1.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
49.7% (5,030)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
48.7%
51.2%
P2
48.6%
50.1%
P3
48.3%
50.2%
OT
50.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | OT | 04:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |