Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.3% vs Eller 49.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 58.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Schenn
Eller
Last 10: Schenn 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
1
Schenn
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (414)
49.5% (457)
-3.4%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
57.7% (26)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
44.1% (59)
-44.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
42.3% (222)
51.0% (259)
Away
48.5% (231)
47.7% (283)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
43.9%
45.7%
P2
48.4%
44.3%
P3
43.5%
56.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |