Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.1%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 47.5% vs Eller 47.4% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 65.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Schenn
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Schenn
Eller
Last 10: Schenn 1-9 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
3
Schenn
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Schenn
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Schenn
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (469)
48.9% (701)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
62.5% (8)
-6.5%
On power play, Eller has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Schenn is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Schenn shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Schenn
Eller
Home
49.6% (236)
47.5% (421)
Away
44.6% (258)
46.8% (462)
By Period
Schenn
Eller
P1
48.0%
47.8%
P2
48.1%
47.3%
P3
42.2%
46.1%
OT
81.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2017 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Lars Eller |