Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.4%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Frost 48.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 58.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 62.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Schenn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schenn
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Frost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Schenn
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
47.4% (426)
+1.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
63.9% (36)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
20.0% (5)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Schenn
Frost
Home
49.0% (286)
51.1% (221)
Away
49.1% (293)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Schenn
Frost
P1
47.7%
47.5%
P2
48.7%
52.3%
P3
51.4%
44.7%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |