Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Frost 55.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 66.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 63.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Schenn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schenn
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
2
Schenn
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
54.9% (701)
-3.7%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
60.8% (166)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
100.0% (5)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Schenn
Frost
Home
54.0% (367)
56.0% (443)
Away
53.3% (375)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Schenn
Frost
P1
48.6%
58.9%
P2
52.0%
55.3%
P3
59.0%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |