Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 45.8%). Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Frost 46.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 58.6%
Defensive zone
Schenn 71.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Schenn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Schenn
Frost
Last 10: Schenn 2-8 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Schenn
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Schenn
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
45.6% (833)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
46.0% (100)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
55.6% (18)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Schenn
Frost
Home
46.8% (494)
47.0% (440)
Away
46.3% (520)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Schenn
Frost
P1
50.3%
42.5%
P2
47.0%
47.9%
P3
42.2%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:11 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |