Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Paul 50.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 73.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 53.8%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Schenn
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Schenn
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Schenn
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Schenn
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
53.0% (644)
-4.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
37.5% (24)
+33.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
42.9% (177)
-2.9%
On power play, Schenn has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Schenn
Paul
Home
49.0% (286)
52.5% (516)
Away
49.1% (293)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Schenn
Paul
P1
47.7%
47.6%
P2
48.7%
48.4%
P3
51.4%
54.5%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |