Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Paul 50.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 64.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Schenn
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Schenn
Paul
Last 7: Schenn 4-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
3
2
Schenn
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
48.8% (666)
+3.4%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
53.8% (65)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
60.0% (55)
-2.6%
On even strength, Schenn has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Schenn
Paul
Home
51.1% (575)
49.7% (348)
Away
53.4% (607)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Schenn
Paul
P1
51.4%
51.0%
P2
52.7%
47.4%
P3
52.7%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Nick Paul |