Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Paul 53.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 63.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 65.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 62.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Schenn
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Schenn
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Schenn
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Schenn
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
53.1% (710)
-5.5%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
57.3% (199)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
58.0% (69)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Schenn
Paul
Home
55.6% (453)
56.0% (466)
Away
43.3% (467)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Schenn
Paul
P1
48.4%
57.2%
P2
50.3%
54.9%
P3
50.8%
51.5%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |