Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.5%). Schenn wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.5% vs Roy 53.0% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Schenn 70.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 54.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Schenn
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (505)
53.9% (449)
-2.6%
Power Play
63.6% (99)
53.3% (30)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
77.8% (18)
51.3% (78)
+26.5%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schenn is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schenn shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Schenn
Roy
Home
53.8% (331)
54.9% (293)
Away
54.3% (291)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Schenn
Roy
P1
47.6%
55.0%
P2
52.7%
51.7%
P3
60.3%
53.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.0%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%