Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.4%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Schenn leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 74.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 55.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Schenn
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Schenn
Roy
Last 10: Schenn 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
9
2
Schenn
Roy
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
3
Schenn
Roy
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
48.7% (3,719)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
49.5% (283)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
45.5% (477)
+3.0%
On power play, Schenn has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schenn is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Schenn shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Schenn
Roy
Home
49.7% (5,030)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Schenn
Roy
P1
48.7%
50.8%
P2
48.6%
46.3%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |