Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.8%). Schenn wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Roy 48.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.1%
Defensive zone
Schenn 52.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 51.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Schenn
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schenn
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
49.5% (746)
-0.8%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
50.7% (75)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
42.7% (110)
-2.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Schenn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Schenn shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Schenn
Roy
Home
49.0% (286)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.1% (293)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Schenn
Roy
P1
47.7%
51.1%
P2
48.7%
44.6%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |